Every year in cash is a year of invisible losses. The longer you avoid risk, the riskier your life becomes. Here is why cash guarantees loss. 1 (Ryan Greiser, Twitter Oct. ‘25)
Playing it Safe?
- Cash feels safe because the number does not move. But that is the trap. While your account stays at $100,000, your purchasing power drops to $97,000 You do not see it. You wake up 10 years later wondering why everything costs more.
- It’s not that you’re being reckless. You’re being careful. Every dollar in cash loses 3% a year to inflation. Every year you wait costs you a decade of compounding.
Volatility is not the enemy – stagnation is!
- Volatility is temporary. Stagnation guarantees loss
- Between 2015 and 2025, the S&P500 dropped 5 times. Including a -34% drawdown in 2020 during COVID. But if you held cash to “stay safe” you missed a +230% gain.
- That is the cost of confusing comfort with safety
What if “staying out” is the bigger risk?
- Real safety isn’t avoiding risk. It’s surviving it. It’s to design your finances so no loss knocks you out of the game
- Real safety is having enough cash to stay steady when life happens and enough invested to stay ahead when it doesn’t.
2 sleeves to consider
- #1 sleeve: Survival. 3-12 months of expenses in cash. It’s job: keep you in the game when life hits. It’s not earning returns. It’s buying time.
- #2 sleeve: Compounding. Invested for long-term growth. It’s job: fight inflation and fund freedom. You are not chasing returns. You’re staying invested long enough for them to compound
- This system: one protects you from shocks. One protects you from time. Together, they make risk survivable and progress inevitable
Takeaway
- Compounding only works if you stay in the game
- The safest thing you can do is accept that safety doesn’t exist
- Build the system. Stay in the game. Let compounding do the rest
Sincerely,
Mike Busby (1-Dec-25)
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