How much can you withdrawal in Retirement?

Hello;

In retirement, it’s time to start spending. But how much can you withdraw each year without needing to worry about running out of money? 1 (How can I make my retirement savings last? Fidelity Viewpoints Apr. ’24)

What is a sustainable withdrawal rate (SWR)?

  • SWR is the estimated percentage of savings you’re able to withdraw each year throughout retirement without running out of money.
  • Looking at history and simulating many potential outcomes, aim to withdraw no more than 4% to 5% of your savings in the first year of retirement.

What will impact my sustainable withdrawal rate?

  • It will be based on many things such as 1) how long you live 2) inflation 3) returns of the stock market 4) your age 5) investments you choose and 6) taxes
  • A weak market early in retirement can diminish your nest egg. On the other hand, a strong stock market early in retirement can put the wind at your back
  • Say you plan on a retirement of 30 years, you invest in a balanced portfolio and want a high level of confidence you won’t run out of money. Research indicates that a 4.6% withdrawal rate would have been sustainable 90% of the time
  • On the other hand, if you are retiring at age 60, you may want to plan for a 35-year retirement. In that case, 4.4% was the most you could withdraw for a plan that worked 90% of the historical periods.
  • How you invest can be important. Portfolios with more stocks have historically provided more growth over the long-term – but have also experienced bigger price swings.

Takeaways

  • Planning for withdrawals in retirement can be challenging
  • Estimate how long you think you will live based on your health.
  • Evaluate how much investment risk you can live with
  • Choose an appropriate mix of investments
  • Choose a withdrawal rate you believe has a good chance of success

Sincerely,

Mike Busby (2-Dec-24)

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